Dr. Andrew Korybko
Dr. Andrew Korybko
Political Analyst
Dr. Andrew Korybko is a Moscow-based American political analyst with a PhD from MGIMO, specializing in the global systemic transition to multipolarity.
THE GLOBAL VOICES AT THE GHANA CENTRE FOR CHINA STUDIES
On July 14, 2025 Dr. Andrew Korybko, a seasoned political analyst shared with the Ghana Centre for China Studies his perspective on U.S.-China relations.
Sino-US business ties from the 1980s onwards played a major role in the globalization processes that followed the end of the (Old) Cold War. They also created a relationship of complex mutual interdependence that hitherto kept anti-Chinese US hawks at bay. At present, however, Trump’s resumption of his first term’s tariff war is creating new complications that risk unraveling their relations if they’re unresolved. The tentative Sino-US deal that he celebrated as a “total reset” inspires hope that a pragmatic series of compromises can be agreed to and respected. If the deal collapses, then global economic uncertainty is expected to follow, and this could worsen geopolitical tensions in Asia to the detriment of everyone.
The terms of the tentative Sino-US deal, if it officially enters into force, should lay the basis for more mutually beneficial business ties so long as the US respects it. Therein lies the challenge, however, since it’s unclear whether the US will abide by the terms that it agreed to or even if the tentative deal will officially enter into force. Nevertheless, China is negotiating in good faith in the hope that the US is as well, which is driven by its desire to amicably resolve all disputes with its partners. The breakdown of relations and consequently regional stability in the scenario of this deal collapsing would risk harming China’s objective interests. It therefore has understandable motives for negotiating with the US in good faith and abiding by whatever terms are ultimately agreed to.
Production credits: This publication is produced by the Ghana Centre for China Studies,
Africa’s preeminent and most comprehensive platform exclusively dedicated to authoritative
interpretation of China’s domestic and foreign policies.
At the Ghana Centre for China Studies we eschew specific policy positions. All positions and
opinions expressed in this publication are solely those of the author (s).